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Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC

Final score: 1-3 FT

Odds & implied probabilities

Implied probabilities are calculated directly from the 1X2 odds.

Home win
20%
Odds: 5.00
Draw
26.3%
Odds: 3.80
Away win
60.6%
Odds: 1.65

Match stats (latest snapshot)

These numbers come from our data feed and may not be available for every match.

MetricDerby County FCLeeds United FC
Expected goals (xG)Not availableNot available
Shots722
Shots on target211
Possession (%)3466
Corners55
Yellow cards11
Red cards00

Pre-match snapshot

Useful context when the match hasn't started yet (or when some live feeds are missing).

Season PPG (home)
0
Season PPG (away)
3
Over 2.5 goals (model)
0%
BTTS (model)
0%
Expected total corners
0
Expected total cards
0
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As the prestigious England FA Cup approaches, football enthusiasts are gearing up for an exhilarating showdown between Derby County FC and Leeds United FC on January 11, 2026. This clash not only promises to deliver high-octane action but also holds significant implications for both teams in terms of morale and momentum as they navigate their respective leagues. With Leeds United currently favored as the away team, the odds are leaning heavily in their favor, with a probability of winning estimated at 57.1%. In contrast, Derby County holds a home win probability of 21.2%, while a draw is calculated at 27.8%.

Historically, the FA Cup has been a stage where underdogs often rise to the occasion, and Derby County has shown resilience in cup competitions. Analyzing recent form, Leeds United has demonstrated a more consistent performance in the Championship, showcasing their attacking prowess with an average of 2.1 goals per match in their last five outings. In contrast, Derby County has struggled with form, sitting lower in the league standings, but their home advantage at Pride Park should not be underestimated. The psychological edge of playing in front of home fans could play a pivotal role in this encounter.

For punters looking for valuable insights, the "Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC prediction" leans towards an away victory, but it's important to consider various betting tips. The potential for a high-scoring match exists, given Leeds' offensive capabilities, making betting on over 2.5 goals an attractive option. The odds for Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC are fluctuating, reflecting the ongoing changes in team dynamics and player fitness, making real-time updates crucial for informed betting decisions.

In conclusion, this FA Cup match is set to be an enthralling battle, steeped in tradition and rivalry. Whether you’re a die-hard supporter or a casual observer, the insights surrounding the "England FA Cup Derby County FC Leeds United FC" matchup provide a rich tapestry for analysis and betting strategies. Stay tuned for further updates and in-depth analysis as we approach kickoff to maximize your betting potential.

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